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Violence and Gold price shocks in the Brazilian Amazon: an exploratory analysis

  1. Title statementViolence and Gold price shocks in the Brazilian Amazon: an exploratory analysis [rukopis] / Catharina Becker missel machado
    Additional Variant TitlesThe impact of climate change on conflicts in Brazil
    Personal name Becker missel machado, Catharina, (dissertant)
    Translated titleThe impact of climate change on conflicts in Brazil
    Issue data2023
    Phys.des.65 p. (15739 words) : mapy, grafy, tab.
    NoteVed. práce Pascale Combes motel
    Oponent Jean-Louis Combes
    Another responsib. Combes motel, Pascale, (thesis advisor)
    Combes, Jean-Louis, (opponent)
    Another responsib. Univerzita Palackého. Katedra rozvojových studií (degree grantor)
    Keywords Amazon region * Illegal Gold mining * Violence * Gold price * Organized crime
    Form, Genre diplomové práce master's theses
    UDC (043)378.2
    CountryČesko
    Languageangličtina
    Document kindPUBLIKAČNÍ ČINNOST
    TitleMgr.
    Degree programNavazující
    Degree programGlobal Development Policy
    Degreee disciplineGlobal Development Policy
    book

    book

    Kvalifikační práceDownloadedSizedatum zpřístupnění
    00289346-636388310.pdf013.3 MB30.06.2023
    PosudekTyp posudku
    00289346-ved-420958295.pdfPosudek vedoucího
    00289346-opon-356916096.pdfPosudek oponenta

    The rise in international commodity prices following the 2008 global financial crisis sparked a gold stampede in the Brazilian economy, particularly in the Amazon region, one of the main goldrich zones in the country, making both legal and illicit mining a highly profitable and alluring business. It is believed that the increased illicit mining of gold has exacerbated violence in areas with abundant metals, becoming a new driving force in Brazilian conflicts. In this context, the present thesis is a preliminary investigation of the relationship between mining and conflict through an extensive microeconomic literature review and descriptive statistics on the gold surge's correlation and four different measures of violence, including homicide rate, firearm death rate, violent causalities, and aggregated rural violence. An entirely new dataset is created for Brazilian municipalities located in the Legal Amazon to determine those which are exposed to illegal mining and how they are affected by violence. To circumvent the paucity of data on illicit mining in Brazil, we use the location of protected areas, such as Indigenous Territories and Natural Conservation Areas, and deforestation rates as instruments to determine municipalities exposed to illegal mining. In protected areas, no mining of any kind is allowed, meaning that all mining activities in municipalities with these characteristics are illegal. We conclude by demonstrating that the municipalities exposed to illegal mining present 13.8% more incidences of homicide rate than municipalities exposed to legal mining and 63% more than municipalities not exposed to mining and that the violence indicators seem to be correlated with the international gold price.The rise in international commodity prices following the 2008 global financial crisis sparked a gold stampede in the Brazilian economy, particularly in the Amazon region, one of the main goldrich zones in the country, making both legal and illicit mining a highly profitable and alluring business. It is believed that the increased illicit mining of gold has exacerbated violence in areas with abundant metals, becoming a new driving force in Brazilian conflicts. In this context, the present thesis is a preliminary investigation of the relationship between mining and conflict through an extensive microeconomic literature review and descriptive statistics on the gold surge's correlation and four different measures of violence, including homicide rate, firearm death rate, violent causalities, and aggregated rural violence. An entirely new dataset is created for Brazilian municipalities located in the Legal Amazon to determine those which are exposed to illegal mining and how they are affected by violence. To circumvent the paucity of data on illicit mining in Brazil, we use the location of protected areas, such as Indigenous Territories and Natural Conservation Areas, and deforestation rates as instruments to determine municipalities exposed to illegal mining. In protected areas, no mining of any kind is allowed, meaning that all mining activities in municipalities with these characteristics are illegal. We conclude by demonstrating that the municipalities exposed to illegal mining present 13.8% more incidences of homicide rate than municipalities exposed to legal mining and 63% more than municipalities not exposed to mining and that the violence indicators seem to be correlated with the international gold price.

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